FRAKTAL·ICIOUS
Public Record
2026-07-10 → 2026-09-03

The call ledger

Every day this model publishes one call. Every call is written down here the day it is made, hashed against the one before it, and never edited afterwards. Wins, losses, and the days the machinery was broken.

This is not a track record yet. It begins 10 July 2026. A record this short proves nothing about a four-year cycle, and you should not treat it as evidence that the model works. What it is meant to prove is narrower: that we committed to the record before we knew how it would read.

Read this before you read the table

The performance figures elsewhere on this site — reduced drawdown across independent walk-forward folds, beating buy-and-hold on return in 11 of 18 of them, a current-cycle maximum drawdown of −24.0% against −53.1% for holding — come from a backtest, not from this ledger. They are different things and we will never merge them. When this record is long enough to say something on its own, it will say it here, whether or not we like the answer.

Current call
WAIT IN STABLES
Held since
2026-08-20 (11d)
Calls recorded
50
Days missing
6
Chain begins
2026-07-23
Back-stamped
11

What would end this call. This call is held, not re-decided daily. It ends on a recovery above ~$81,200 (+5.2% from here, 35% below the all-time high), or on the model turning buyer with the score above +0.30 — sustained five days, or with the regime no longer bearish. The score is −0.022 today. Neither is close, so this call will not change on a small move.

The record

DateCallActionSignalScoreBTCvs ATHStateModel
2026-09-03data 2026-09-02WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Hold-0.022$77,189-38.2%EARLY_RECOVERY9ddc135a
2026-09-02no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-09-01no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-08-31no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-08-30no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-08-29data 2026-08-28WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Hold-0.080$77,717-37.7%EARLY_RECOVERY89557bd3
2026-08-28data 2026-08-27WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Hold-0.016$80,297-35.7%EARLY_RECOVERYbcc33712
2026-08-27data 2026-08-26WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Hold0.044$78,955-36.7%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONa4d339f1
2026-08-26data 2026-08-25WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Hold-0.006$78,601-37.0%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION9a9b9516
2026-08-25data 2026-08-24WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Hold0.022$78,894-36.8%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONde9ef5b2
2026-08-24data 2026-08-23WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Hold-0.010$77,593-37.8%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONf46ee677
2026-08-23data 2026-08-22WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Hold-0.042$77,020-38.3%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION9c9cad29
2026-08-22data 2026-08-21WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Hold-0.047$78,359-37.2%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION5459eadd
2026-08-21data 2026-08-20WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Hold0.033$73,071-41.5%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONd4628130
2026-08-20WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Hold-0.077$69,268-44.5%EARLY_RECOVERY0d4b5a83
2026-08-19WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Hold-0.033$64,696-48.2%EARLY_RECOVERY9d06f025
2026-08-18WAIT IN STABLES
de-risk from Hold BTC — risk-off, not the end of a cycle
Stay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Hold-0.032$64,434-48.4%EARLY_RECOVERY9e587634
2026-08-17HOLD BTCnot recordedHold0.073$62,818-49.7%EARLY_RECOVERYac56c36e
2026-08-16HOLD BTCnot recordedHold0.067$63,034-49.5%EARLY_RECOVERYec46abc8
2026-08-15HOLD BTCnot recordedHold0.068$62,925-49.6%EARLY_RECOVERY14353d98
2026-08-14HOLD BTCnot recordedHold0.000$63,395-49.2%EARLY_RECOVERY18bf9a0a
2026-08-13HOLD BTCnot recordedHold-0.028$63,359-49.2%EARLY_RECOVERY792ac351
2026-08-12HOLD BTCnot recordedHold-0.028$63,547-49.1%EARLY_RECOVERY238bba4d
2026-08-11HOLD BTC
from Accumulate BTC
not recordedHold-0.027$63,908-48.8%EARLY_RECOVERY6804034c
2026-08-10ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedNormal DCA0.007$64,865-48.0%EARLY_RECOVERYaa7e1133
2026-08-09ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedNormal DCA0.157$64,907-48.0%EARLY_RECOVERYfe0c320a
2026-08-08ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedNormal DCA0.307$64,869-48.0%EARLY_RECOVERYee4f9678
2026-08-07ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedNormal DCA0.457$64,212-48.6%EARLY_RECOVERY17bb4e4c
2026-08-06ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedNormal DCA0.387$64,610-48.2%EARLY_RECOVERY3ab8309b
2026-08-05ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedNormal DCA0.463$64,161-48.6%EARLY_RECOVERY25d06ad9
2026-08-04ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedNormal DCA0.469$63,460-49.2%EARLY_RECOVERY464ab590
2026-08-03ACCUMULATE BTC
re-entry from stables
not recordedHeavy DCA0.501$63,446-49.2%CAPITULATIONf6e0bf57
2026-08-02WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.222$62,752-49.7%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION7da6df42
2026-08-01WAIT IN STABLES
de-risk from Accumulate BTC — risk-off, not the end of a cycle
Stay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.230$62,875-49.6%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION9a119553
2026-07-31ACCUMULATE BTC
re-entry from stables
not recordedLight DCA0.212$64,828-48.1%EARLY_RECOVERY4216198b
2026-07-30WAIT IN STABLES
de-risk from Accumulate BTC — risk-off, not the end of a cycle
Stay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.245$63,905-48.8%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION3c90df9e
2026-07-29ACCUMULATE BTC
re-entry from stables
not recordedLight DCA0.250$63,728-48.9%EARLY_RECOVERYd0e349a8
2026-07-28WAIT IN STABLES
de-risk from Accumulate BTC — risk-off, not the end of a cycle
Stay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.234$63,718-49.0%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONe262bd4c
2026-07-27ACCUMULATE BTC
re-entry from stables
not recordedLight DCA0.223$65,329-47.7%EARLY_RECOVERY5393b686
2026-07-26WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.228$64,331-48.5%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION8ffcf05b
2026-07-25WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.222$64,100-48.6%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION36b6edb0
2026-07-24WAIT IN STABLES
de-risk from Accumulate BTC — risk-off, not the end of a cycle
Stay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.211$65,094-47.9%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION78de30cf
2026-07-23ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedLight DCA0.207$65,983-47.1%EARLY_RECOVERY0fe14a3a
2026-07-22ACCUMULATE BTC
re-entry from stables
not recordedLight DCA0.194$66,403-46.8%EARLY_RECOVERYpre-ledg
2026-07-21WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.202$65,182-47.8%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-20WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.208$64,653-48.2%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-19WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.225$64,778-48.1%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-18WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.213$63,916-48.8%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-17WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.247$63,780-48.9%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-16WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.225$64,765-48.1%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-15no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-07-14WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.237$62,127-50.2%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-13no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-07-12WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.223$63,893-48.8%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-11WAIT IN STABLES
de-risk from Accumulate BTC — risk-off, not the end of a cycle
Stay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. Light DCA0.234$64,119-48.6%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-10ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedLight DCA0.266$63,189-49.4%EARLY_RECOVERYpre-ledg

Newest first. Today's call is withheld until the day closes — it can still refine while the day is open, and a row that changes is not a record. Action is the navigator's decision — what the app told you to do. Signal is the scoring layer underneath (Hold / Trim / Buy). They are different layers and can disagree; both are shown so that disagreement is visible rather than hidden behind whichever one got printed. Until 2026-08-19 only the Signal was captured, so earlier rows show Action as not recorded — we would rather leave it blank than back-fill a decision we did not log. Where the call changes, the change is named: Wait in Stables reached from Hold is a de-risk, and reached from Distribute it is the end of a cycle. Same words, different meaning, and the six-phase framing implies the second for both. A dotted score means the signal layer was inside its own dead band that day — Hold, neither buy nor sell. The phase still gets a crisp name; the score behind it does not support that crispness, and we would rather show you where that is true.

† 37 rows before 2026-08-18 are not trustworthy, and we are leaving them up. Until that date this log was written by a process that evaluated the navigator phase cold, without carrying the previous day's state — the one path our 14-of-18 validation does not grade. The result was not a wrong call so much as an unstable one: across those 37 days the published call changed 11 times, and 30 of them showed a buy (DCA) action while the graded model read the same days differently. If you acted on this page during that window, you were following something we could not stand behind. Those rows have not been corrected or removed: they are what we actually said, and the hash chain proves they are unedited — a record you quietly fix is not a record. The fix landed 2026-08-18; every row from that date carries threaded, graded state.

Check it yourself

The table above is a view. The record is the JSON at /api/calls, served exactly as it is stored — unrounded and in chain order, so the hashes reproduce. Each row's hash is a SHA-256 over the previous row's hash and this row's immutable call fields, seeded with the literal string GENESIS. Save the JSON and run this:



  

If any row had been edited after the fact, that row and every row after it would fail. displayState is not part of the hash: it is a smoothed reading of the raw state that legitimately recomputes, so it is shown for readability but is not part of the commitment.

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Nothing on this site is financial advice. This page is a record of what a model said, not a recommendation, and not a claim that it was right.