FRAKTAL·ICIOUS
Public Record
2026-07-10 → 2026-10-18

The call ledger

Every day this model publishes one call. Every call is written down here the day it is made, hashed against the one before it, and never edited afterwards. Wins, losses, and the days the machinery was broken.

This is not a track record yet. It begins 10 July 2026. A record this short proves nothing about a four-year cycle, and you should not treat it as evidence that the model works. What it is meant to prove is narrower: that we committed to the record before we knew how it would read.

Follow the changes by RSS. Most days this call does not change, so there is nothing to read. Subscribe to the transition feed and you get one item only when the published call actually changes and has held for two observation days, so the day-to-day whipsaw in the table below is not announced. The feed states its own item count and how many recorded days it covers. No account, no email address, and nothing is sent to you.

Read this before you read the table

The performance figures elsewhere on this site — reduced drawdown in 15/18 (overlapping, not independent) walk-forward folds, beating buy-and-hold on return in 12/18 folds, a current-cycle maximum drawdown of −26.9% against −53.1% for holding — come from a backtest, not from this ledger. They are different things and we will never merge them. When this record is long enough to say something on its own, it will say it here, whether or not we like the answer.

Current call
HOLD BTC
Held since
2026-09-29 (17d)
Calls recorded
86
Days missing
15
Chain begins
2026-07-23
Back-stamped
11

The record

DateCallActionSignalScoreBTCvs ATHStateModel
2026-10-18data 2026-10-17HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.020$81,269-34.9%EARLY_RECOVERYcedae849
2026-10-17data 2026-10-16HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.038$81,538-34.7%EARLY_RECOVERY983eafd2
2026-10-16data 2026-10-15HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.032$82,116-34.2%EARLY_RECOVERY5c1c14f5
2026-10-15data 2026-10-14HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.026$81,499-34.7%EARLY_RECOVERY65c8bc20
2026-10-14data 2026-10-13HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.047$83,141-33.4%EXPANSION90adcd15
2026-10-13data 2026-10-12HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.035$81,805-34.5%EARLY_RECOVERYd8811381
2026-10-12no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-10-11no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-10-10no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-10-09data 2026-10-08HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.032$81,732-34.5%EXPANSION91ea79a1
2026-10-08data 2026-10-07HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.027$83,274-33.3%EXPANSION2911b628
2026-10-07data 2026-10-06HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.131$85,523-31.5%EXPANSION2ac7bd24
2026-10-06data 2026-10-05HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.119$85,835-31.2%EXPANSION8564f586
2026-10-05data 2026-10-04HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.137$86,521-30.7%EXPANSION45286335
2026-10-04data 2026-10-03HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.175$84,756-32.1%EXPANSION19c7536a
2026-10-03data 2026-10-02HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.129$84,518-32.3%EXPANSIONa6736513
2026-10-02data 2026-10-01HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.148$84,777-32.1%EXPANSION5b07ba1a
2026-10-01data 2026-09-30HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.139$83,580-33.0%EXPANSION72cb01d3
2026-09-30data 2026-09-29HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.139$83,675-33.0%EXPANSION870eb290
2026-09-29data 2026-09-28HOLD BTC
re-entry from stables
Hold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.132$83,517-33.1%EXPANSIONa4ef10d2
2026-09-28data 2026-09-27WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Trim-0.205$84,392-32.4%EXPANSION2bf22fce
2026-09-27data 2026-09-26WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Trim-0.204$84,386-32.4%EARLY_RECOVERY34aa1dd3
2026-09-26data 2026-09-25WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Trim-0.136$84,062-32.7%EARLY_RECOVERYab1da235
2026-09-25data 2026-09-24WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Trim-0.136$84,387-32.4%EARLY_RECOVERY786bd335
2026-09-24data 2026-09-23WAIT IN STABLES
de-risk from Hold BTC — risk-off, not the end of a cycle — FULL EXIT: → 0% BTC / 100% stables (from 80% BTC)
Stay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Trim-0.172$84,434-32.4%EARLY_RECOVERYefd3b41e
2026-09-23data 2026-09-22HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.190$86,205-30.9%EARLY_RECOVERY49515a9f
2026-09-22data 2026-09-21HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.217$86,505-30.7%EARLY_RECOVERY9185a8d2
2026-09-21data 2026-09-20HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.213$81,195-35.0%EARLY_RECOVERYafb6807c
2026-09-20data 2026-09-19HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.196$81,262-34.9%EARLY_RECOVERY224b9da0
2026-09-19data 2026-09-18HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.185$80,944-35.2%EARLY_RECOVERY388f6401
2026-09-18no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-09-17no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-09-16no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-09-15no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-09-14data 2026-09-13HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.033$76,759-38.5%EARLY_RECOVERYca2522e0
2026-09-13data 2026-09-12HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.030$77,252-38.1%EARLY_RECOVERY24a6c679
2026-09-12data 2026-09-11HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.028$77,177-38.2%EARLY_RECOVERY07b5460e
2026-09-11data 2026-09-10HOLD BTCHold core BTC and keep your regular buy going at your usual size (1×). The model is not sizing an extra buy today.Hold-0.027$76,676-38.6%EARLY_RECOVERYe3ef1427
2026-09-10data 2026-09-09HOLD BTCHold BTC position. No action needed.Hold-0.128$78,207-37.3%EARLY_RECOVERY0260d19e
2026-09-09data 2026-09-08HOLD BTC
re-entry from stables
Hold BTC position. No action needed. 0×Hold-0.139$78,446-37.2%EARLY_RECOVERYbb71c29c
2026-09-08no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-09-07data 2026-09-06WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold-0.129$80,320-35.7%EARLY_RECOVERYd2ae3917
2026-09-06data 2026-09-05WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold-0.184$79,817-36.1%EARLY_RECOVERYab6ad9d5
2026-09-05no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-09-04data 2026-09-03WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold-0.146$81,243-34.9%EXPANSION40c1f6b7
2026-09-03data 2026-09-02WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold-0.022$77,189-38.2%EARLY_RECOVERY9ddc135a
2026-09-02no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-09-01no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-08-31no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-08-30no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-08-29data 2026-08-28WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold-0.080$77,717-37.7%EARLY_RECOVERY89557bd3
2026-08-28data 2026-08-27WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold-0.016$80,297-35.7%EARLY_RECOVERYbcc33712
2026-08-27data 2026-08-26WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold0.044$78,955-36.7%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONa4d339f1
2026-08-26data 2026-08-25WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold-0.006$78,601-37.0%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION9a9b9516
2026-08-25data 2026-08-24WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold0.022$78,894-36.8%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONde9ef5b2
2026-08-24data 2026-08-23WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold-0.010$77,593-37.8%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONf46ee677
2026-08-23data 2026-08-22WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold-0.042$77,020-38.3%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION9c9cad29
2026-08-22data 2026-08-21WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold-0.047$78,359-37.2%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION5459eadd
2026-08-21data 2026-08-20WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold0.033$73,071-41.5%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONd4628130
2026-08-20WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold-0.077$69,268-44.5%EARLY_RECOVERY0d4b5a83
2026-08-19WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold-0.033$64,696-48.2%EARLY_RECOVERY9d06f025
2026-08-18WAIT IN STABLES
de-risk from Hold BTC — risk-off, not the end of a cycle — FULL EXIT: → 0% BTC / 100% stables (from 80% BTC)
Stay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Hold-0.032$64,434-48.4%EARLY_RECOVERY9e587634
2026-08-17†HOLD BTCnot recordedHold0.073$62,818-49.7%EARLY_RECOVERYac56c36e
2026-08-16†HOLD BTCnot recordedHold0.067$63,034-49.5%EARLY_RECOVERYec46abc8
2026-08-15†HOLD BTCnot recordedHold0.068$62,925-49.6%EARLY_RECOVERY14353d98
2026-08-14†HOLD BTCnot recordedHold0.000$63,395-49.2%EARLY_RECOVERY18bf9a0a
2026-08-13†HOLD BTCnot recordedHold-0.028$63,359-49.2%EARLY_RECOVERY792ac351
2026-08-12†HOLD BTCnot recordedHold-0.028$63,547-49.1%EARLY_RECOVERY238bba4d
2026-08-11†HOLD BTC
from Accumulate BTC
not recordedHold-0.027$63,908-48.8%EARLY_RECOVERY6804034c
2026-08-10†ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedNormal DCA0.007$64,865-48.0%EARLY_RECOVERYaa7e1133
2026-08-09†ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedNormal DCA0.157$64,907-48.0%EARLY_RECOVERYfe0c320a
2026-08-08†ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedNormal DCA0.307$64,869-48.0%EARLY_RECOVERYee4f9678
2026-08-07†ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedNormal DCA0.457$64,212-48.6%EARLY_RECOVERY17bb4e4c
2026-08-06†ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedNormal DCA0.387$64,610-48.2%EARLY_RECOVERY3ab8309b
2026-08-05†ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedNormal DCA0.463$64,161-48.6%EARLY_RECOVERY25d06ad9
2026-08-04†ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedNormal DCA0.469$63,460-49.2%EARLY_RECOVERY464ab590
2026-08-03†ACCUMULATE BTC
re-entry from stables
not recordedHeavy DCA0.501$63,446-49.2%CAPITULATIONf6e0bf57
2026-08-02†WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.222$62,752-49.7%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION7da6df42
2026-08-01†WAIT IN STABLES
de-risk from Accumulate BTC — risk-off, not the end of a cycle — FULL EXIT: → 0% BTC / 100% stables (from 90% BTC)
Stay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.230$62,875-49.6%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION9a119553
2026-07-31†ACCUMULATE BTC
re-entry from stables
not recordedLight DCA0.212$64,828-48.1%EARLY_RECOVERY4216198b
2026-07-30†WAIT IN STABLES
de-risk from Accumulate BTC — risk-off, not the end of a cycle — FULL EXIT: → 0% BTC / 100% stables (from 90% BTC)
Stay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.245$63,905-48.8%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION3c90df9e
2026-07-29†ACCUMULATE BTC
re-entry from stables
not recordedLight DCA0.250$63,728-48.9%EARLY_RECOVERYd0e349a8
2026-07-28†WAIT IN STABLES
de-risk from Accumulate BTC — risk-off, not the end of a cycle — FULL EXIT: → 0% BTC / 100% stables (from 90% BTC)
Stay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.234$63,718-49.0%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONe262bd4c
2026-07-27†ACCUMULATE BTC
re-entry from stables
not recordedLight DCA0.223$65,329-47.7%EARLY_RECOVERY5393b686
2026-07-26†WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.228$64,331-48.5%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION8ffcf05b
2026-07-25†WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.222$64,100-48.6%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION36b6edb0
2026-07-24†WAIT IN STABLES
de-risk from Accumulate BTC — risk-off, not the end of a cycle — FULL EXIT: → 0% BTC / 100% stables (from 90% BTC)
Stay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.211$65,094-47.9%CAPITAL_PRESERVATION78de30cf
2026-07-23†ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedLight DCA0.207$65,983-47.1%EARLY_RECOVERY0fe14a3a
2026-07-22†ACCUMULATE BTC
re-entry from stables
not recordedLight DCA0.194$66,403-46.8%EARLY_RECOVERYpre-ledg
2026-07-21†WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.202$65,182-47.8%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-20†WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.208$64,653-48.2%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-19†WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.225$64,778-48.1%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-18†WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.213$63,916-48.8%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-17†WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.247$63,780-48.9%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-16†WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.225$64,765-48.1%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-15no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-07-14†WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.237$62,127-50.2%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-13no call recorded — the logging step failed that day
2026-07-12†WAIT IN STABLESStay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.223$63,893-48.8%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-11†WAIT IN STABLES
de-risk from Accumulate BTC — risk-off, not the end of a cycle — FULL EXIT: → 0% BTC / 100% stables (from 90% BTC)
Stay in stables — wait for a confirmed turn, not just deep value. 0×Light DCA0.234$64,119-48.6%CAPITAL_PRESERVATIONpre-ledg
2026-07-10†ACCUMULATE BTCnot recordedLight DCA0.266$63,189-49.4%EARLY_RECOVERYpre-ledg

Newest first. Today's call is withheld until the day closes — it can still refine while the day is open, and a row that changes is not a record. Today's row is being held now. Action is the navigator's decision — what the app told you to do. Signal is the scoring layer underneath (Hold / Trim / Buy). They are different layers and can disagree; both are shown so that disagreement is visible rather than hidden behind whichever one got printed. Until 2026-08-19 only the Signal was captured, so earlier rows show Action as not recorded — we would rather leave it blank than back-fill a decision we did not log. Where the call changes, the change is named: Wait in Stables reached from Hold is a de-risk, and reached from Distribute it is the end of a cycle. Same words, different meaning, and the six-phase framing implies the second for both. A dotted score means the signal layer was inside its own dead band that day — Hold, neither buy nor sell. The phase still gets a crisp name; the score behind it does not support that crispness, and we would rather show you where that is true. A size like 2.6× beside the action is the model's own multiple of your usual buy. From 2026-09-10 the published size on a buy-BTC day is floored at 1×, your normal buy, and 1× is deliberately not chipped: measured across four cycles, a follower who stops contributing on the model's Hold days ends with 0.51–1.03× the coins of simply buying every day, while keeping 1× on Hold days and withholding only on sell days beats daily buying in all four. Rows recorded BEFORE that date are shown unfloored, exactly as they were published on the day — a 0× we really printed stays a 0×. We do not rewrite a row, or the sentence it was recorded with. Where a Heavy call carries real heavy or re-accumulate heavily, that is a display qualifier for how deep price is below its 200-day average: a BAND of roughly 25–30%, never a precise line (the best-separating threshold moved about 16 points across held-out tests), and it changes no size and moves no money. A "real heavy" call in the CURRENT cycle cannot be judged until this bear resolves.

† 37 rows before 2026-08-18 are not trustworthy, and we are leaving them up. Until that date this log was written by a process that evaluated the navigator phase cold, without carrying the previous day's state — the one path our event-level validation does not grade. The result was not a wrong call so much as an unstable one: across those 37 days the published call changed 11 times, and 30 of them showed a buy (DCA) action while the graded model read the same days differently. If you acted on this page during that window, you were following something we could not stand behind. Those rows have not been corrected or removed: they are what we actually said, and the hash chain proves they are unedited — a record you quietly fix is not a record. The fix landed 2026-08-18; every row from that date carries threaded, graded state.

Check it yourself

The table above is a view. The record is the JSON at /api/calls, served exactly as it is stored — unrounded and in chain order, so the hashes reproduce. Each row's hash is a SHA-256 over the previous row's hash and this row's immutable call fields, seeded with the literal string GENESIS. Save the JSON and run this:



  

If any row had been edited after the fact, that row and every row after it would fail. displayState is not part of the hash: it is a smoothed reading of the raw state that legitimately recomputes, so it is shown for readability but is not part of the commitment.

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